Ongoing efforts to arrange the next round of direct US-Iran talks focus on finalizing a one-page memorandum of understanding that would set timelines for deeper negotiations, including potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz before addressing Iran's nuclear program in later stages. The highest-level direct contacts since 1979 occurred in Islamabad on April 11-12, 2026, and ended without agreement after US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other officials. No date has been set for resumption as of mid-May, with Iran emphasizing the need for a workable framework first and setting an informal one-month deadline around early June. Backchannel diplomacy through Pakistani and Omani mediators continues amid US demands for concrete concessions, while both sides review proposals without committing to immediate high-level attendance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,177,613 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Donald Trump
3%
Marco Rubio
8%
J.D. Vance
32%
Jared Kushner
51%
Steve Witkoff
46%
$1,177,613 Vol.
Donald Trump
$214,781 Vol.
3%
Marco Rubio
$90,718 Vol.
8%
J.D. Vance
$650,229 Vol.
32%
Jared Kushner
$120,563 Vol.
51%
Steve Witkoff
$101,322 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing efforts to arrange the next round of direct US-Iran talks focus on finalizing a one-page memorandum of understanding that would set timelines for deeper negotiations, including potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz before addressing Iran's nuclear program in later stages. The highest-level direct contacts since 1979 occurred in Islamabad on April 11-12, 2026, and ended without agreement after US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other officials. No date has been set for resumption as of mid-May, with Iran emphasizing the need for a workable framework first and setting an informal one-month deadline around early June. Backchannel diplomacy through Pakistani and Omani mediators continues amid US demands for concrete concessions, while both sides review proposals without committing to immediate high-level attendance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$1,177,613End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing efforts to arrange the next round of direct US-Iran talks focus on finalizing a one-page memorandum of understanding that would set timelines for deeper negotiations, including potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz before addressing Iran's nuclear program in later stages. The highest-level direct contacts since 1979 occurred in Islamabad on April 11-12, 2026, and ended without agreement after US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other officials. No date has been set for resumption as of mid-May, with Iran emphasizing the need for a workable framework first and setting an informal one-month deadline around early June. Backchannel diplomacy through Pakistani and Omani mediators continues amid US demands for concrete concessions, while both sides review proposals without committing to immediate high-level attendance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,177,613End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing efforts to arrange the next round of direct US-Iran talks focus on finalizing a one-page memorandum of understanding that would set timelines for deeper negotiations, including potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz before addressing Iran's nuclear program in later stages. The highest-level direct contacts since 1979 occurred in Islamabad on April 11-12, 2026, and ended without agreement after US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other officials. No date has been set for resumption as of mid-May, with Iran emphasizing the need for a workable framework first and setting an informal one-month deadline around early June. Backchannel diplomacy through Pakistani and Omani mediators continues amid US demands for concrete concessions, while both sides review proposals without committing to immediate high-level attendance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions