Trader consensus prices "No" at 88% due to President Trump's absence of the phrase "Praise be to Allah" in any verified public statements or Truth Social posts since April 11, amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz. The earlier uses—twice in early April threats demanding Iran reopen the strait—sparked backlash from Christian groups on Easter Sunday and Muslim leaders worldwide, likely deterring repetition despite recent escalations like US intercepts of Iranian attacks on Navy ships May 7 and a fragile ceasefire on life support. With Trump now in Beijing for Xi Jinping summit talks May 13 seeking de-escalation, traders see slim odds of provocative rhetoric recurring by May 31 absent major provocation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$33,360 Vol.
$33,360 Vol.
$33,360 Vol.
$33,360 Vol.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 88% due to President Trump's absence of the phrase "Praise be to Allah" in any verified public statements or Truth Social posts since April 11, amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz. The earlier uses—twice in early April threats demanding Iran reopen the strait—sparked backlash from Christian groups on Easter Sunday and Muslim leaders worldwide, likely deterring repetition despite recent escalations like US intercepts of Iranian attacks on Navy ships May 7 and a fragile ceasefire on life support. With Trump now in Beijing for Xi Jinping summit talks May 13 seeking de-escalation, traders see slim odds of provocative rhetoric recurring by May 31 absent major provocation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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