No known near-Earth objects large enough to deliver a 5-kiloton impact are on collision courses for the remainder of 2026, according to JPL and ESA tracking data. Ongoing NEO surveys have identified only small, safe flybys—such as the recent bus- to airplane-sized objects passing hundreds of thousands of miles away—while historical impact rates for this energy level remain low, on the order of once every few decades globally. Traders appear to weigh the absence of any threatening detections, combined with improving detection capabilities that catch most objects above a few meters well in advance, against the residual chance of an undetected small asteroid or comet fragment. With roughly 4.5 months left in the year and no significant model updates or new close-approach risks flagged by monitoring agencies, the market-implied odds favor no event occurring.