California's 38th congressional district, redrawn in recent cycles to include areas from El Monte to eastern Anaheim, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Following the June 2026 primary, Democrat Hilda Solis advanced as the clear frontrunner against Republican Pedro Casas for the November 3 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, yet the underlying voter registration and historical performance patterns continue to favor Democratic outcomes in this solidly blue territory. Trader consensus reflects limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate-specific scandals or an unusually large national partisan shift within the remaining campaign window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-38
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-38
$61,287 Vol.
$61,287 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
2%
$61,287 Vol.
$61,287 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$30,378 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$30,909 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district, redrawn in recent cycles to include areas from El Monte to eastern Anaheim, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Following the June 2026 primary, Democrat Hilda Solis advanced as the clear frontrunner against Republican Pedro Casas for the November 3 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, yet the underlying voter registration and historical performance patterns continue to favor Democratic outcomes in this solidly blue territory. Trader consensus reflects limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate-specific scandals or an unusually large national partisan shift within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$61,287Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district, redrawn in recent cycles to include areas from El Monte to eastern Anaheim, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Following the June 2026 primary, Democrat Hilda Solis advanced as the clear frontrunner against Republican Pedro Casas for the November 3 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, yet the underlying voter registration and historical performance patterns continue to favor Democratic outcomes in this solidly blue territory. Trader consensus reflects limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate-specific scandals or an unusually large national partisan shift within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$61,287Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district, redrawn in recent cycles to include areas from El Monte to eastern Anaheim, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Following the June 2026 primary, Democrat Hilda Solis advanced as the clear frontrunner against Republican Pedro Casas for the November 3 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, yet the underlying voter registration and historical performance patterns continue to favor Democratic outcomes in this solidly blue territory. Trader consensus reflects limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate-specific scandals or an unusually large national partisan shift within the remaining campaign window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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