Trader sentiment on Donald Trump Truth Social posts from August 14-21, 2026, centers on his variable activity tied to daily news cycles, policy announcements, and public schedule. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 160-199 and 200+ ranges captures uncertainty over whether routine updates or reactive commentary will dominate during this window. Key variables include legislative developments, diplomatic signals, or campaign-related statements that historically spur higher volumes, versus periods of lower engagement during travel or lulls. Any major breaking events within the resolution period could shift the distribution by prompting additional posts, while steady conditions would likely sustain the current competitive balance reflected in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado200+ 34%
160-179 27%
180-199 23%
140-159 10%
$24,668 Vol.
$24,668 Vol.
21 ago 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
3%
140-159
10%
160-179
27%
180-199
23%
200+
34%
200+ 34%
160-179 27%
180-199 23%
140-159 10%
$24,668 Vol.
$24,668 Vol.
21 ago 2026
60-79
$5,027 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$1,673 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$982 Vol.
2%
120-139
$773 Vol.
3%
140-159
$1,904 Vol.
10%
160-179
$1,931 Vol.
27%
180-199
$1,320 Vol.
23%
200+
$2,420 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment on Donald Trump Truth Social posts from August 14-21, 2026, centers on his variable activity tied to daily news cycles, policy announcements, and public schedule. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 160-199 and 200+ ranges captures uncertainty over whether routine updates or reactive commentary will dominate during this window. Key variables include legislative developments, diplomatic signals, or campaign-related statements that historically spur higher volumes, versus periods of lower engagement during travel or lulls. Any major breaking events within the resolution period could shift the distribution by prompting additional posts, while steady conditions would likely sustain the current competitive balance reflected in trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$24,668Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment on Donald Trump Truth Social posts from August 14-21, 2026, centers on his variable activity tied to daily news cycles, policy announcements, and public schedule. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 160-199 and 200+ ranges captures uncertainty over whether routine updates or reactive commentary will dominate during this window. Key variables include legislative developments, diplomatic signals, or campaign-related statements that historically spur higher volumes, versus periods of lower engagement during travel or lulls. Any major breaking events within the resolution period could shift the distribution by prompting additional posts, while steady conditions would likely sustain the current competitive balance reflected in trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$24,668Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Donald Trump Truth Social posts from August 14-21, 2026, centers on his variable activity tied to daily news cycles, policy announcements, and public schedule. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 160-199 and 200+ ranges captures uncertainty over whether routine updates or reactive commentary will dominate during this window. Key variables include legislative developments, diplomatic signals, or campaign-related statements that historically spur higher volumes, versus periods of lower engagement during travel or lulls. Any major breaking events within the resolution period could shift the distribution by prompting additional posts, while steady conditions would likely sustain the current competitive balance reflected in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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