The upcoming August 18 primary in Florida’s redrawn 9th Congressional District has drawn a crowded Republican field seeking the nomination to challenge Democratic incumbent Darren Soto in a seat shifted toward GOP-leaning territory. Trader consensus places Ben Butler in front, reflecting late momentum from agricultural endorsements and name recognition gains, while Thomas Chalifoux trails despite substantial fundraising. A recent Victory Insights poll showed the top contenders clustered closely with over 40 percent of likely voters undecided, underscoring volatility in the final days. Dan Green and Jorge Martinez occupy the next tier amid limited polling clarity, with the remainder of the field registering minimal support. The race’s resolution hinges on turnout among Republican primary voters in the brief window before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBen Butler 41.4%
Thomas Chalifoux 28%
Dan Green 14%
Jorge Martinez 5.7%
$77,299 Vol.
$77,299 Vol.

Ben Butler
41%

Thomas Chalifoux
28%

Dan Green
14%

Jorge Martinez
6%

Justin Story
1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Ben Butler 41.4%
Thomas Chalifoux 28%
Dan Green 14%
Jorge Martinez 5.7%
$77,299 Vol.
$77,299 Vol.

Ben Butler
41%

Thomas Chalifoux
28%

Dan Green
14%

Jorge Martinez
6%

Justin Story
1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The upcoming August 18 primary in Florida’s redrawn 9th Congressional District has drawn a crowded Republican field seeking the nomination to challenge Democratic incumbent Darren Soto in a seat shifted toward GOP-leaning territory. Trader consensus places Ben Butler in front, reflecting late momentum from agricultural endorsements and name recognition gains, while Thomas Chalifoux trails despite substantial fundraising. A recent Victory Insights poll showed the top contenders clustered closely with over 40 percent of likely voters undecided, underscoring volatility in the final days. Dan Green and Jorge Martinez occupy the next tier amid limited polling clarity, with the remainder of the field registering minimal support. The race’s resolution hinges on turnout among Republican primary voters in the brief window before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions