**Forecast models from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts indicate a daytime maximum of 17°C for Amsterdam on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on 17°C (57.5%) and 16°C (33.1%).** Mild westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and light rain or scattered showers are limiting daytime solar heating and preventing temperatures from exceeding typical early-summer values. These conditions keep the daily high near or just below the June climatological average of roughly 19°C. Numerical weather prediction guidance shows tight clustering around 16–18°C, with only low-probability scenarios (supported by the 11% odds on 18°C) if skies clear earlier than expected. No strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is present to push readings higher, while overnight lows and morning observations near 14°C further anchor the expected peak. Traders are pricing the outcome based on the latest model runs and official agency briefings, which have shown minimal shifts in recent hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?
17°C 56%
16°C 33.7%
18°C 11%
19°C 3.8%
$22,978 Vol.
$22,978 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
33%
17°C
57%
18°C
11%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 56%
16°C 33.7%
18°C 11%
19°C 3.8%
$22,978 Vol.
$22,978 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
33%
17°C
57%
18°C
11%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts indicate a daytime maximum of 17°C for Amsterdam on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on 17°C (57.5%) and 16°C (33.1%).** Mild westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and light rain or scattered showers are limiting daytime solar heating and preventing temperatures from exceeding typical early-summer values. These conditions keep the daily high near or just below the June climatological average of roughly 19°C. Numerical weather prediction guidance shows tight clustering around 16–18°C, with only low-probability scenarios (supported by the 11% odds on 18°C) if skies clear earlier than expected. No strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is present to push readings higher, while overnight lows and morning observations near 14°C further anchor the expected peak. Traders are pricing the outcome based on the latest model runs and official agency briefings, which have shown minimal shifts in recent hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions