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Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?

icon for Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?

17°C 56%

16°C 33.7%

18°C 11%

19°C 3.8%

Polymarket

$22,978 Vol.

17°C 56%

16°C 33.7%

18°C 11%

19°C 3.8%

Polymarket

$22,978 Vol.

13°C or below

$170 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$1,273 Vol.

<1%

15°C

$4,698 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$8,030 Vol.

33%

17°C

$3,109 Vol.

57%

18°C

$2,136 Vol.

11%

19°C

$2,861 Vol.

4%

20°C

$1,542 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$968 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$240 Vol.

<1%

23°C or higher

$170 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts indicate a daytime maximum of 17°C for Amsterdam on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on 17°C (57.5%) and 16°C (33.1%).** Mild westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and light rain or scattered showers are limiting daytime solar heating and preventing temperatures from exceeding typical early-summer values. These conditions keep the daily high near or just below the June climatological average of roughly 19°C. Numerical weather prediction guidance shows tight clustering around 16–18°C, with only low-probability scenarios (supported by the 11% odds on 18°C) if skies clear earlier than expected. No strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is present to push readings higher, while overnight lows and morning observations near 14°C further anchor the expected peak. Traders are pricing the outcome based on the latest model runs and official agency briefings, which have shown minimal shifts in recent hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,978
Data de Término
14 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts indicate a daytime maximum of 17°C for Amsterdam on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on 17°C (57.5%) and 16°C (33.1%).** Mild westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and light rain or scattered showers are limiting daytime solar heating and preventing temperatures from exceeding typical early-summer values. These conditions keep the daily high near or just below the June climatological average of roughly 19°C. Numerical weather prediction guidance shows tight clustering around 16–18°C, with only low-probability scenarios (supported by the 11% odds on 18°C) if skies clear earlier than expected. No strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is present to push readings higher, while overnight lows and morning observations near 14°C further anchor the expected peak. Traders are pricing the outcome based on the latest model runs and official agency briefings, which have shown minimal shifts in recent hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,978
Data de Término
14 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17°C" at 57%, followed by "16°C" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?" has generated $23K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?" is "17°C" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "16°C" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.