Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and European sources indicate a peak temperature of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 15 under partly cloudy skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating, directly supporting the market's leading outcomes at 44.5% and 33.5% implied probability. These conditions reflect typical early-June climatology for the region, with sea-breeze influences and high pressure suppressing stronger warming that would favor 19°C or higher. Recent model runs show consistency in this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact maximum by 1°C before resolution. Traders appear to weight official guidance heavily given the short time horizon to market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 45%
17°C 34%
19°C 14%
16°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
34%
18°C
45%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 45%
17°C 34%
19°C 14%
16°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
14°C or below
$383 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$335 Vol.
1%
16°C
$703 Vol.
8%
17°C
$761 Vol.
34%
18°C
$354 Vol.
45%
19°C
$772 Vol.
14%
20°C
$423 Vol.
2%
21°C
$497 Vol.
1%
22°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and European sources indicate a peak temperature of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 15 under partly cloudy skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating, directly supporting the market's leading outcomes at 44.5% and 33.5% implied probability. These conditions reflect typical early-June climatology for the region, with sea-breeze influences and high pressure suppressing stronger warming that would favor 19°C or higher. Recent model runs show consistency in this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact maximum by 1°C before resolution. Traders appear to weight official guidance heavily given the short time horizon to market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$5,265Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and European sources indicate a peak temperature of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 15 under partly cloudy skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating, directly supporting the market's leading outcomes at 44.5% and 33.5% implied probability. These conditions reflect typical early-June climatology for the region, with sea-breeze influences and high pressure suppressing stronger warming that would favor 19°C or higher. Recent model runs show consistency in this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact maximum by 1°C before resolution. Traders appear to weight official guidance heavily given the short time horizon to market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,265Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and European sources indicate a peak temperature of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 15 under partly cloudy skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating, directly supporting the market's leading outcomes at 44.5% and 33.5% implied probability. These conditions reflect typical early-June climatology for the region, with sea-breeze influences and high pressure suppressing stronger warming that would favor 19°C or higher. Recent model runs show consistency in this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact maximum by 1°C before resolution. Traders appear to weight official guidance heavily given the short time horizon to market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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