Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daily maximum near 15°C in Helsinki on June 14, 2026, driven by widespread cloud cover, light easterly flow, and minimal solar heating that suppress afternoon warming. Official hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 14–15°C through peak daylight hours, consistent with the market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for exactly 15°C. Historical June averages near 19°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors values at the cooler end of the range. Traders have priced in limited upside risk, though any unexpected clearing or model shift toward greater insolation could still allow a brief push to 16°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on June 14?
15°C 96.5%
16°C 2.5%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$22,818 Vol.
$22,818 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
97%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 96.5%
16°C 2.5%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$22,818 Vol.
$22,818 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
97%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daily maximum near 15°C in Helsinki on June 14, 2026, driven by widespread cloud cover, light easterly flow, and minimal solar heating that suppress afternoon warming. Official hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 14–15°C through peak daylight hours, consistent with the market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for exactly 15°C. Historical June averages near 19°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors values at the cooler end of the range. Traders have priced in limited upside risk, though any unexpected clearing or model shift toward greater insolation could still allow a brief push to 16°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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