Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 likely settling between 21–22 °C, placing these outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology for the region averages 20–22 °C under typical southwesterly flow and stable high pressure, with limited diurnal range over the Bosphorus due to marine influence. Small differences in model resolution of low-level moisture and afternoon sea-breeze timing create the narrow spread between the two leading probabilities. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day warming or brief clearing potentially shifting the outcome by 1 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul em 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul em 18 de maio?
21°C 33%
22°C 30%
20°C 15%
23°C or higher 14.5%
NOVO
$10,781 Vol.
NOVO
$10,781 Vol.
18 mai 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
7%
20°C
15%
21°C
33%
22°C
30%
23°C or higher
15%
21°C 33%
22°C 30%
20°C 15%
23°C or higher 14.5%
NOVO
$10,781 Vol.
NOVO
$10,781 Vol.
18 mai 2026
13°C or below
$589 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$991 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,325 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$873 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,704 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,217 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,209 Vol.
7%
20°C
$505 Vol.
15%
21°C
$533 Vol.
33%
22°C
$462 Vol.
30%
23°C or higher
$1,375 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 likely settling between 21–22 °C, placing these outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology for the region averages 20–22 °C under typical southwesterly flow and stable high pressure, with limited diurnal range over the Bosphorus due to marine influence. Small differences in model resolution of low-level moisture and afternoon sea-breeze timing create the narrow spread between the two leading probabilities. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day warming or brief clearing potentially shifting the outcome by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,781Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 likely settling between 21–22 °C, placing these outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology for the region averages 20–22 °C under typical southwesterly flow and stable high pressure, with limited diurnal range over the Bosphorus due to marine influence. Small differences in model resolution of low-level moisture and afternoon sea-breeze timing create the narrow spread between the two leading probabilities. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day warming or brief clearing potentially shifting the outcome by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,781Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 likely settling between 21–22 °C, placing these outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology for the region averages 20–22 °C under typical southwesterly flow and stable high pressure, with limited diurnal range over the Bosphorus due to marine influence. Small differences in model resolution of low-level moisture and afternoon sea-breeze timing create the narrow spread between the two leading probabilities. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day warming or brief clearing potentially shifting the outcome by 1 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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