Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate place Qingdao’s June 15 high near 23–24 °C under moderate south-easterly flow and marine influence that typically caps coastal maxima. Trader emphasis on 27 °C (43.5 %) likely reflects ensemble spread in longer-range guidance, where warmer continental air advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings 2–3 °C above the June climatological average of ~24 °C. Lower-probability bins below 25 °C align with stronger onshore winds or lingering marine layer, while the slim tail above 29 °C would require an atypical warm surge. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the current consensus shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 15?
27°C 44%
28°C 21%
26°C 18%
29°C 6%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
44%
28°C
21%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 44%
28°C 21%
26°C 18%
29°C 6%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
44%
28°C
21%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate place Qingdao’s June 15 high near 23–24 °C under moderate south-easterly flow and marine influence that typically caps coastal maxima. Trader emphasis on 27 °C (43.5 %) likely reflects ensemble spread in longer-range guidance, where warmer continental air advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings 2–3 °C above the June climatological average of ~24 °C. Lower-probability bins below 25 °C align with stronger onshore winds or lingering marine layer, while the slim tail above 29 °C would require an atypical warm surge. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the current consensus shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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