Trader consensus positions the 1-100 range as the clear leader at 65% because the proposed Gold Card program remains in its initial rollout phase, with implementation dependent on executive actions, agency coordination, and potential legislative support. Key factors include eligibility rules for high-value investments, competition from established visa pathways, and the time required to build international awareness among targeted applicants. Market pricing also reflects ongoing uncertainties around confirmation processes, regulatory timelines, and broader economic conditions that could affect demand through 2026. Later developments, such as formal program launches or diplomatic outreach, could still shift volumes within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?
1-100 68.8%
101-1k 18.2%
>100 mil 5.5%
2,5 mil-5 mil 4.1%
$235,180 Vol.
$235,180 Vol.
1-100
69%
101-1k
13%
1k-2,5k
3%
2,5 mil-5 mil
4%
5 mil-10 mil
2%
10k-25k
2%
25 mil-100 mil
2%
>100 mil
6%
1-100 68.8%
101-1k 18.2%
>100 mil 5.5%
2,5 mil-5 mil 4.1%
$235,180 Vol.
$235,180 Vol.
1-100
69%
101-1k
13%
1k-2,5k
3%
2,5 mil-5 mil
4%
5 mil-10 mil
2%
10k-25k
2%
25 mil-100 mil
2%
>100 mil
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions the 1-100 range as the clear leader at 65% because the proposed Gold Card program remains in its initial rollout phase, with implementation dependent on executive actions, agency coordination, and potential legislative support. Key factors include eligibility rules for high-value investments, competition from established visa pathways, and the time required to build international awareness among targeted applicants. Market pricing also reflects ongoing uncertainties around confirmation processes, regulatory timelines, and broader economic conditions that could affect demand through 2026. Later developments, such as formal program launches or diplomatic outreach, could still shift volumes within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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