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icon for Participação de voto de James Fishback nas primárias do governador republicano da Flórida em 2026?
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Participação de voto de James Fishback nas primárias do governador republicano da Flórida em 2026?

icon for Participação de voto de James Fishback nas primárias do governador republicano da Flórida em 2026?
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Participação de voto de James Fishback nas primárias do governador republicano da Flórida em 2026?

Fishback <10% 52%

Fishback 10–15% 34%

Fishback 15–20% 10%

Fishback 30%+ 2.2%

Polymarket

$103,444 Vol.

Fishback <10% 52%

Fishback 10–15% 34%

Fishback 15–20% 10%

Fishback 30%+ 2.2%

Polymarket

$103,444 Vol.

Fishback <10%

$73,562 Vol.

52%

Fishback 10–15%

$9,486 Vol.

34%

Fishback 15–20%

$4,590 Vol.

10%

Fishback 20–25%

$7,448 Vol.

2%

Fishback 25–30%

$2,811 Vol.

1%

Fishback 30%+

$6,142 Vol.

2%

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls ahead of the August 18 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary place James Fishback in the single digits to low teens, trailing frontrunner Byron Donalds (often above 40%) and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. A late-July court ruling rejected a residency challenge from Collins, keeping Fishback on the ballot, yet this produced no measurable polling surge or donor momentum. With Donalds holding a Trump endorsement and consolidated support among party regulars, the fragmented field leaves limited room for lesser-known candidates like Fishback to expand beyond niche appeal on affordability and regulatory issues. Trader pricing on vote-share buckets aligns with these surveys and the primary's proximity, reflecting the structural barriers to a stronger finish.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$103,444
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls ahead of the August 18 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary place James Fishback in the single digits to low teens, trailing frontrunner Byron Donalds (often above 40%) and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. A late-July court ruling rejected a residency challenge from Collins, keeping Fishback on the ballot, yet this produced no measurable polling surge or donor momentum. With Donalds holding a Trump endorsement and consolidated support among party regulars, the fragmented field leaves limited room for lesser-known candidates like Fishback to expand beyond niche appeal on affordability and regulatory issues. Trader pricing on vote-share buckets aligns with these surveys and the primary's proximity, reflecting the structural barriers to a stronger finish.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$103,444
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Participação de voto de James Fishback nas primárias do governador republicano da Flórida em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fishback <10%" at 52%, followed by "Fishback 10–15%" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Participação de voto de James Fishback nas primárias do governador republicano da Flórida em 2026?" has generated $103.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Participação de voto de James Fishback nas primárias do governador republicano da Flórida em 2026?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Participação de voto de James Fishback nas primárias do governador republicano da Flórida em 2026?" is "Fishback <10%" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Fishback 10–15%" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Participação de voto de James Fishback nas primárias do governador republicano da Flórida em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.