**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological data and international models like GFS, indicate a likely overnight low near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 18, 2026, with light rain possible transitioning to cloudy conditions and light easterly or southeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market’s elevated probabilities around the 18–19°C outcomes while the matched 35.5% odds on 14°C or below versus 24°C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in model runs and the potential for faster nocturnal cooling under clearer skies or shifts in steering patterns. Climatologically, the average low is 15.5°C, so current guidance shows a warmer-than-normal signal driven by recent mild conditions and limited cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the balance between rain-suppressed cooling and any late-model adjustments ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Pequim no dia 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Pequim no dia 18 de setembro?
14°C ou menos 75%
24°C ou mais 73%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
14°C ou menos
75%
15°C
15%
16°C
17%
17°C
18%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
14%
21°C
37%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C ou mais
73%
14°C ou menos 75%
24°C ou mais 73%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
75%
15°C
$0 Vol.
15%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$15 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological data and international models like GFS, indicate a likely overnight low near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 18, 2026, with light rain possible transitioning to cloudy conditions and light easterly or southeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market’s elevated probabilities around the 18–19°C outcomes while the matched 35.5% odds on 14°C or below versus 24°C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in model runs and the potential for faster nocturnal cooling under clearer skies or shifts in steering patterns.
Climatologically, the average low is 15.5°C, so current guidance shows a warmer-than-normal signal driven by recent mild conditions and limited cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the balance between rain-suppressed cooling and any late-model adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological data and international models like GFS, indicate a likely overnight low near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 18, 2026, with light rain possible transitioning to cloudy conditions and light easterly or southeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market’s elevated probabilities around the 18–19°C outcomes while the matched 35.5% odds on 14°C or below versus 24°C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in model runs and the potential for faster nocturnal cooling under clearer skies or shifts in steering patterns.
Climatologically, the average low is 15.5°C, so current guidance shows a warmer-than-normal signal driven by recent mild conditions and limited cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the balance between rain-suppressed cooling and any late-model adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological data and international models like GFS, indicate a likely overnight low near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 18, 2026, with light rain possible transitioning to cloudy conditions and light easterly or southeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market’s elevated probabilities around the 18–19°C outcomes while the matched 35.5% odds on 14°C or below versus 24°C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in model runs and the potential for faster nocturnal cooling under clearer skies or shifts in steering patterns. Climatologically, the average low is 15.5°C, so current guidance shows a warmer-than-normal signal driven by recent mild conditions and limited cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the balance between rain-suppressed cooling and any late-model adjustments ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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