Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in Jinan around 18–21°C for September 17, driven by mild southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 15–18°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This consensus supports the market's leading 18°C outcome at 55% implied probability, while nearby bins at 15–17°C reflect minor disagreements among ensemble runs on wind speed and humidity. Historical September lows average near 17°C, but current high pressure and light winds favor the upper end of that range. Traders monitor evening observations and updated model guidance through the overnight period, as small shifts in cloud cover or advection could tip the exact minimum across resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 17 de setembro?
12°C ou menos 100%
13°C 100%
15°C 100%
16°C 100%
12°C ou menos
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
91%
15°C
100%
16°C
50%
17°C
90%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
50%
12°C ou menos 100%
13°C 100%
15°C 100%
16°C 100%
12°C ou menos
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
91%
15°C
100%
16°C
50%
17°C
90%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in Jinan around 18–21°C for September 17, driven by mild southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 15–18°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This consensus supports the market's leading 18°C outcome at 55% implied probability, while nearby bins at 15–17°C reflect minor disagreements among ensemble runs on wind speed and humidity. Historical September lows average near 17°C, but current high pressure and light winds favor the upper end of that range. Traders monitor evening observations and updated model guidance through the overnight period, as small shifts in cloud cover or advection could tip the exact minimum across resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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