Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on an overnight low near 10°C for London on May 17, 2026, under a mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow with variable cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling and vertical mixing in the boundary layer. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where typical minima range from 7–11°C amid similar synoptic patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects these model outputs and ongoing observations, though clearer skies or lighter winds could allow modest additional cooling toward 9°C. Updated hourly readings through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 17 de maio?
10°C 99.4%
2°C ou menos <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$14,543 Vol.
$14,543 Vol.
2°C ou menos
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
99%
11°C
<1%
12°C ou mais
<1%
10°C 99.4%
2°C ou menos <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$14,543 Vol.
$14,543 Vol.
2°C ou menos
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
99%
11°C
<1%
12°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on an overnight low near 10°C for London on May 17, 2026, under a mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow with variable cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling and vertical mixing in the boundary layer. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where typical minima range from 7–11°C amid similar synoptic patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects these model outputs and ongoing observations, though clearer skies or lighter winds could allow modest additional cooling toward 9°C. Updated hourly readings through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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