Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Moscow under clear skies and light southerly winds, promoting radiative cooling overnight with minimums clustered near 9–11 °C. Slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds across ensembles create the tight spread between 6 °C and 9 °C outcomes, as drier air in some solutions allows stronger cooling while others retain marginal cloud cover. Official Russian Hydrometeorological Service guidance and station observations through early morning confirm temperatures hovering just above 10 °C so far, keeping trader focus on whether the final low dips to single digits or stabilizes near 9 °C before sunrise. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely resolve the narrow gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 17 de setembro?
9°C 51%
8°C 12%
5°C 2%
4°C <1%
3°C ou menos
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
2%
6°C
-
7°C
-
8°C
12%
9°C
51%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C ou mais
<1%
9°C 51%
8°C 12%
5°C 2%
4°C <1%
3°C ou menos
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
2%
6°C
-
7°C
-
8°C
12%
9°C
51%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Moscow under clear skies and light southerly winds, promoting radiative cooling overnight with minimums clustered near 9–11 °C. Slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds across ensembles create the tight spread between 6 °C and 9 °C outcomes, as drier air in some solutions allows stronger cooling while others retain marginal cloud cover. Official Russian Hydrometeorological Service guidance and station observations through early morning confirm temperatures hovering just above 10 °C so far, keeping trader focus on whether the final low dips to single digits or stabilizes near 9 °C before sunrise. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely resolve the narrow gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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