Recent forecast models from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles project a minimum air temperature of 13°C in central Paris overnight into June 14, 2026, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with observed regional patterns where June nocturnal lows typically range 12–16°C, and current runs show tight clustering around 13°C with minimal spread across ensembles. Market-implied odds of 99.7% for exactly 13°C reflect traders' confidence in these guidance products and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects pushing the recorded minimum above or below the 13°C threshold before final verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 14 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 14 de junho?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
14 jun 2026
9°C ou menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou mais
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
14 jun 2026
9°C ou menos
$657 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$957 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,070 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,608 Vol.
100%
14°C
$789 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$852 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,232 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou mais
$916 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles project a minimum air temperature of 13°C in central Paris overnight into June 14, 2026, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with observed regional patterns where June nocturnal lows typically range 12–16°C, and current runs show tight clustering around 13°C with minimal spread across ensembles. Market-implied odds of 99.7% for exactly 13°C reflect traders' confidence in these guidance products and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects pushing the recorded minimum above or below the 13°C threshold before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,364Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles project a minimum air temperature of 13°C in central Paris overnight into June 14, 2026, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with observed regional patterns where June nocturnal lows typically range 12–16°C, and current runs show tight clustering around 13°C with minimal spread across ensembles. Market-implied odds of 99.7% for exactly 13°C reflect traders' confidence in these guidance products and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects pushing the recorded minimum above or below the 13°C threshold before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,364Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles project a minimum air temperature of 13°C in central Paris overnight into June 14, 2026, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with observed regional patterns where June nocturnal lows typically range 12–16°C, and current runs show tight clustering around 13°C with minimal spread across ensembles. Market-implied odds of 99.7% for exactly 13°C reflect traders' confidence in these guidance products and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects pushing the recorded minimum above or below the 13°C threshold before final verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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