Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 16 de maio?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
14°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
$45,807 Vol.
$45,807 Vol.
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Não
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
14°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
$45,807 Vol.
$45,807 Vol.
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDTrader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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