Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS indicate a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no significant cold advection. This consensus aligns with recent observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near 22–24°C amid typical early-autumn humidity levels around 60–70%. The market’s 97% implied probability on 23°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable conditions and limited model spread. A sudden shift in steering patterns or revised observational data from official stations could alter the recorded minimum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation below 22°C or above 24°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 17 de setembro?
23°C 98%
22°C 2%
21°C <1%
17°C ou menos <1%
NOVO
$12,540 Vol.
NOVO
$12,540 Vol.
17 set 2026
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
98%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 98%
22°C 2%
21°C <1%
17°C ou menos <1%
NOVO
$12,540 Vol.
NOVO
$12,540 Vol.
17 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$89 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,011 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,195 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,620 Vol.
2%
23°C
$3,186 Vol.
98%
24°C
$4,983 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
27°C ou mais
$89 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS indicate a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no significant cold advection. This consensus aligns with recent observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near 22–24°C amid typical early-autumn humidity levels around 60–70%. The market’s 97% implied probability on 23°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable conditions and limited model spread. A sudden shift in steering patterns or revised observational data from official stations could alter the recorded minimum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation below 22°C or above 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,540Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS indicate a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no significant cold advection. This consensus aligns with recent observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near 22–24°C amid typical early-autumn humidity levels around 60–70%. The market’s 97% implied probability on 23°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable conditions and limited model spread. A sudden shift in steering patterns or revised observational data from official stations could alter the recorded minimum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation below 22°C or above 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,540Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS indicate a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no significant cold advection. This consensus aligns with recent observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near 22–24°C amid typical early-autumn humidity levels around 60–70%. The market’s 97% implied probability on 23°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable conditions and limited model spread. A sudden shift in steering patterns or revised observational data from official stations could alter the recorded minimum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation below 22°C or above 24°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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