In the lead-up to Mordovia's September 20, 2026, State Assembly election, trader pricing reflects a competitive multi-party contest where United Russia, the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trade in a narrow band near 42-43 percent implied probability for securing the most seats. Historical dominance by the ruling party in the republic has not translated into stronger separation in this market, as national legislative trends, candidate list dynamics, and turnout factors among key voting blocs keep outcomes closely contested. Scheduled common election day voting alongside the federal Duma contest introduces additional variables around regional turnout and party-list performance that could shift probabilities, while procedural elements such as the five-percent threshold and seat allocation formulas add layers of uncertainty until results are certified.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUnited Russia 95%
A Just Russia 5%
LDPR 4%
CPRF 3.8%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia
95%
A Just Russia
5%
LDPR
4%
CPRF
4%
New People
4%
United Russia 95%
A Just Russia 5%
LDPR 4%
CPRF 3.8%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia
$176 Vol.
95%
A Just Russia
$61 Vol.
5%
LDPR
$61 Vol.
4%
CPRF
$61 Vol.
4%
New People
$82 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.In the lead-up to Mordovia's September 20, 2026, State Assembly election, trader pricing reflects a competitive multi-party contest where United Russia, the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trade in a narrow band near 42-43 percent implied probability for securing the most seats. Historical dominance by the ruling party in the republic has not translated into stronger separation in this market, as national legislative trends, candidate list dynamics, and turnout factors among key voting blocs keep outcomes closely contested. Scheduled common election day voting alongside the federal Duma contest introduces additional variables around regional turnout and party-list performance that could shift probabilities, while procedural elements such as the five-percent threshold and seat allocation formulas add layers of uncertainty until results are certified.
Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:44 AM ET
Volume
$442Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.In the lead-up to Mordovia's September 20, 2026, State Assembly election, trader pricing reflects a competitive multi-party contest where United Russia, the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trade in a narrow band near 42-43 percent implied probability for securing the most seats. Historical dominance by the ruling party in the republic has not translated into stronger separation in this market, as national legislative trends, candidate list dynamics, and turnout factors among key voting blocs keep outcomes closely contested. Scheduled common election day voting alongside the federal Duma contest introduces additional variables around regional turnout and party-list performance that could shift probabilities, while procedural elements such as the five-percent threshold and seat allocation formulas add layers of uncertainty until results are certified.
Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$442Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the lead-up to Mordovia's September 20, 2026, State Assembly election, trader pricing reflects a competitive multi-party contest where United Russia, the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trade in a narrow band near 42-43 percent implied probability for securing the most seats. Historical dominance by the ruling party in the republic has not translated into stronger separation in this market, as national legislative trends, candidate list dynamics, and turnout factors among key voting blocs keep outcomes closely contested. Scheduled common election day voting alongside the federal Duma contest introduces additional variables around regional turnout and party-list performance that could shift probabilities, while procedural elements such as the five-percent threshold and seat allocation formulas add layers of uncertainty until results are certified.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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