Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and VCIOM places United Russia first, followed by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation in second, with the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People trading positions in the low-to-mid teens for the remaining spots above the 5% threshold. LDPR’s edge in trader pricing stems from its established regional networks and historical role channeling nationalist protest votes, while New People has gained ground among younger and urban voters through moderate positioning and party-list momentum in recent surveys. Single-mandate district outcomes and the three-day voting format add uncertainty to final seat totals. The ongoing September 18–20 election occurs in a tightly managed system where only pro-government parties compete, limiting volatility but preserving close margins between LDPR and New People for third place.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 52%
New People (NL) 41%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 1.0%
$106,135 Vol.
$106,135 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
52%

New People (NL)
40%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
5%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

United Russia (ER)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 52%
New People (NL) 41%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 1.0%
$106,135 Vol.
$106,135 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
52%

New People (NL)
40%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
5%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

United Russia (ER)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and VCIOM places United Russia first, followed by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation in second, with the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People trading positions in the low-to-mid teens for the remaining spots above the 5% threshold. LDPR’s edge in trader pricing stems from its established regional networks and historical role channeling nationalist protest votes, while New People has gained ground among younger and urban voters through moderate positioning and party-list momentum in recent surveys. Single-mandate district outcomes and the three-day voting format add uncertainty to final seat totals. The ongoing September 18–20 election occurs in a tightly managed system where only pro-government parties compete, limiting volatility but preserving close margins between LDPR and New People for third place.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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