United Russia's commanding position stems from its role as the dominant ruling party across Tyumen Oblast, Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug, and Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug, reinforced by strong performance in recent primaries, substantial campaign funding exceeding other parties by wide margins, and incumbency in nearly all single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. With voting scheduled for 18–20 September, the party benefits from established regional governance ties and broad candidate slates that historically secure majorities. Trader consensus on its frontrunner status reflects these structural edges, though late developments such as sharply reduced turnout, coordinated opposition gains in the party-list component, or unforeseen regulatory shifts could still alter seat distributions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUnited Russia 95.8%
LDPR <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
A Just Russia <1%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia
96%
LDPR
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
CPRF
<1%
New People
<1%
United Russia 95.8%
LDPR <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
A Just Russia <1%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia
$2,101 Vol.
96%
LDPR
$488 Vol.
1%
Communists of Russia
$304 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$455 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$360 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$308 Vol.
<1%
New People
$529 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia's commanding position stems from its role as the dominant ruling party across Tyumen Oblast, Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug, and Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug, reinforced by strong performance in recent primaries, substantial campaign funding exceeding other parties by wide margins, and incumbency in nearly all single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. With voting scheduled for 18–20 September, the party benefits from established regional governance ties and broad candidate slates that historically secure majorities. Trader consensus on its frontrunner status reflects these structural edges, though late developments such as sharply reduced turnout, coordinated opposition gains in the party-list component, or unforeseen regulatory shifts could still alter seat distributions.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Volume
$4,544Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia's commanding position stems from its role as the dominant ruling party across Tyumen Oblast, Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug, and Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug, reinforced by strong performance in recent primaries, substantial campaign funding exceeding other parties by wide margins, and incumbency in nearly all single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. With voting scheduled for 18–20 September, the party benefits from established regional governance ties and broad candidate slates that historically secure majorities. Trader consensus on its frontrunner status reflects these structural edges, though late developments such as sharply reduced turnout, coordinated opposition gains in the party-list component, or unforeseen regulatory shifts could still alter seat distributions.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$4,544Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia's commanding position stems from its role as the dominant ruling party across Tyumen Oblast, Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug, and Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug, reinforced by strong performance in recent primaries, substantial campaign funding exceeding other parties by wide margins, and incumbency in nearly all single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. With voting scheduled for 18–20 September, the party benefits from established regional governance ties and broad candidate slates that historically secure majorities. Trader consensus on its frontrunner status reflects these structural edges, though late developments such as sharply reduced turnout, coordinated opposition gains in the party-list component, or unforeseen regulatory shifts could still alter seat distributions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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