Recent high-level US-China economic talks have produced concrete progress on reciprocal tariff reductions for non-sensitive goods, including carve-outs agreed during September 20 meetings between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng. These sessions, framed as groundwork for the September 24 Trump-Xi summit, advance mechanisms established at the May 2026 Beijing summit through bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment targeting roughly $30 billion in mutual tariff relief. Ongoing negotiations address the fragile trade truce expiring November 10, alongside commitments on agricultural purchases, critical minerals, and related market access. The resulting trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum and institutional channels positioned to deliver a publicly announced mutual tariff agreement before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado91% chance
$261,431 Vol.
$261,431 Vol.
31 dez 2026
91% chance
$261,431 Vol.
$261,431 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-China economic talks have produced concrete progress on reciprocal tariff reductions for non-sensitive goods, including carve-outs agreed during September 20 meetings between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng. These sessions, framed as groundwork for the September 24 Trump-Xi summit, advance mechanisms established at the May 2026 Beijing summit through bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment targeting roughly $30 billion in mutual tariff relief. Ongoing negotiations address the fragile trade truce expiring November 10, alongside commitments on agricultural purchases, critical minerals, and related market access. The resulting trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum and institutional channels positioned to deliver a publicly announced mutual tariff agreement before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado Aberto: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Volume
$261,431Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-China economic talks have produced concrete progress on reciprocal tariff reductions for non-sensitive goods, including carve-outs agreed during September 20 meetings between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng. These sessions, framed as groundwork for the September 24 Trump-Xi summit, advance mechanisms established at the May 2026 Beijing summit through bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment targeting roughly $30 billion in mutual tariff relief. Ongoing negotiations address the fragile trade truce expiring November 10, alongside commitments on agricultural purchases, critical minerals, and related market access. The resulting trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum and institutional channels positioned to deliver a publicly announced mutual tariff agreement before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$261,431Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent high-level US-China economic talks have produced concrete progress on reciprocal tariff reductions for non-sensitive goods, including carve-outs agreed during September 20 meetings between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng. These sessions, framed as groundwork for the September 24 Trump-Xi summit, advance mechanisms established at the May 2026 Beijing summit through bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment targeting roughly $30 billion in mutual tariff relief. Ongoing negotiations address the fragile trade truce expiring November 10, alongside commitments on agricultural purchases, critical minerals, and related market access. The resulting trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum and institutional channels positioned to deliver a publicly announced mutual tariff agreement before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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