The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOutro 100.0%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
López Aliaga & Nieto <1%
López Chau & Fujimori <1%
$1,181,384 Vol.
$1,181,384 Vol.
López Aliaga & López Chau
Não
López Aliaga & Nieto
Não
López Chau & Fujimori
Não
López Chau & Nieto
Não
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
Não
López Aliaga & Fujimori
Não
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
Não
López Aliaga & Grozo
Não
Fujimori & Nieto
Não
Outro
Sim
Outro 100.0%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
López Aliaga & Nieto <1%
López Chau & Fujimori <1%
$1,181,384 Vol.
$1,181,384 Vol.
López Aliaga & López Chau
Não
López Aliaga & Nieto
Não
López Chau & Fujimori
Não
López Chau & Nieto
Não
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
Não
López Aliaga & Fujimori
Não
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
Não
López Aliaga & Grozo
Não
Fujimori & Nieto
Não
Outro
Sim
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions