Ongoing US-Iran tensions and airstrikes since late February 2026 have centered on military targets, with recent American strikes in early June hitting surveillance, communications, and air-defense sites. Negotiations produced a draft memorandum announced June 14, with electronic signing reported and a formal agreement expected around June 19 in Switzerland to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues. No ground operations or official visits by US congressional members, Trump administration figures, or other listed individuals have occurred or been scheduled inside Iran. The market reflects trader consensus on the low probability of any physical entry by the deadline amid active diplomacy and the absence of invasion plans.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$16,189,492 Vol.
Qualquer senador dos EUA
1%
JD Vance
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Qualquer membro da Câmara dos EUA
<1%
Jared Kushner
<1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
<1%
$16,189,492 Vol.
Qualquer senador dos EUA
1%
JD Vance
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Qualquer membro da Câmara dos EUA
<1%
Jared Kushner
<1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
<1%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions and airstrikes since late February 2026 have centered on military targets, with recent American strikes in early June hitting surveillance, communications, and air-defense sites. Negotiations produced a draft memorandum announced June 14, with electronic signing reported and a formal agreement expected around June 19 in Switzerland to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues. No ground operations or official visits by US congressional members, Trump administration figures, or other listed individuals have occurred or been scheduled inside Iran. The market reflects trader consensus on the low probability of any physical entry by the deadline amid active diplomacy and the absence of invasion plans.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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