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icon for Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?

Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?

icon for Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?

Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

12% chance
Polymarket

$76,264 Vol.

Sim

12% chance
Polymarket

$76,264 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No BRICS member has issued a formal withdrawal notice or public signal of intent to exit as of mid-2026, underpinning the 88.4% trader consensus against any departure this year. India's rotating chairmanship has emphasized institutional continuity through ministerial meetings, preparations for the leaders’ summit, and initiatives on trade facilitation, payments systems, and multipolar coordination among the eleven full members. Recent expansion—Indonesia’s entry in 2025 and addition of partner countries—has redirected focus toward post-enlargement streamlining rather than contraction. Internal divergences on regional issues have produced no membership challenges or denunciations, consistent with the bloc’s record of retaining all current participants since earlier non-join decisions by prospective states like Argentina.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$76,264
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No BRICS member has issued a formal withdrawal notice or public signal of intent to exit as of mid-2026, underpinning the 88.4% trader consensus against any departure this year. India's rotating chairmanship has emphasized institutional continuity through ministerial meetings, preparations for the leaders’ summit, and initiatives on trade facilitation, payments systems, and multipolar coordination among the eleven full members. Recent expansion—Indonesia’s entry in 2025 and addition of partner countries—has redirected focus toward post-enlargement streamlining rather than contraction. Internal divergences on regional issues have produced no membership challenges or denunciations, consistent with the bloc’s record of retaining all current participants since earlier non-join decisions by prospective states like Argentina.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$76,264
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" has generated $76.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" is "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.