Republican control of the House, where articles of impeachment must originate with a simple majority vote, forms the primary barrier driving trader consensus at 98.6% against President Trump's impeachment by June 30, reflecting unified GOP loyalty and historical precedent of no intra-party revolt during his second term. Early April filings by Democrats, including Rep. John Larson's H.Res.1155 citing high crimes and misdemeanors, stalled without committee advancement or floor consideration amid the narrow Republican majority. No hearings, whip counts, or bipartisan momentum have emerged in the past month, with midterms not until November. Realistic shifts would require an unprecedented scandal prompting GOP defections or a sudden House flip, though structural and timeline constraints make this improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$354,331 Vol.
$354,331 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$354,331 Vol.
$354,331 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, where articles of impeachment must originate with a simple majority vote, forms the primary barrier driving trader consensus at 98.6% against President Trump's impeachment by June 30, reflecting unified GOP loyalty and historical precedent of no intra-party revolt during his second term. Early April filings by Democrats, including Rep. John Larson's H.Res.1155 citing high crimes and misdemeanors, stalled without committee advancement or floor consideration amid the narrow Republican majority. No hearings, whip counts, or bipartisan momentum have emerged in the past month, with midterms not until November. Realistic shifts would require an unprecedented scandal prompting GOP defections or a sudden House flip, though structural and timeline constraints make this improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Volume
$354,331Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, where articles of impeachment must originate with a simple majority vote, forms the primary barrier driving trader consensus at 98.6% against President Trump's impeachment by June 30, reflecting unified GOP loyalty and historical precedent of no intra-party revolt during his second term. Early April filings by Democrats, including Rep. John Larson's H.Res.1155 citing high crimes and misdemeanors, stalled without committee advancement or floor consideration amid the narrow Republican majority. No hearings, whip counts, or bipartisan momentum have emerged in the past month, with midterms not until November. Realistic shifts would require an unprecedented scandal prompting GOP defections or a sudden House flip, though structural and timeline constraints make this improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$354,331Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House, where articles of impeachment must originate with a simple majority vote, forms the primary barrier driving trader consensus at 98.6% against President Trump's impeachment by June 30, reflecting unified GOP loyalty and historical precedent of no intra-party revolt during his second term. Early April filings by Democrats, including Rep. John Larson's H.Res.1155 citing high crimes and misdemeanors, stalled without committee advancement or floor consideration amid the narrow Republican majority. No hearings, whip counts, or bipartisan momentum have emerged in the past month, with midterms not until November. Realistic shifts would require an unprecedented scandal prompting GOP defections or a sudden House flip, though structural and timeline constraints make this improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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