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icon for Trump designará o PCC ou CV do Brasil como terrorista até 31 de dezembro?
Política·Terror

Trump designará o PCC ou CV do Brasil como terrorista até 31 de dezembro?

icon for Trump designará o PCC ou CV do Brasil como terrorista até 31 de dezembro?
Política·Terror

Trump designará o PCC ou CV do Brasil como terrorista até 31 de dezembro?

Sim

97% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

97% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. State Department designated Brazil’s Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists in late May 2026, with Foreign Terrorist Organization status taking effect June 5, confirming the outcome well ahead of the December 31 deadline. This step aligns with the Trump administration’s broader pattern of applying terrorist designations to Latin American criminal networks to disrupt financing, drug flows, and cross-border operations, following sustained advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures including Flávio Bolsonaro. Trader consensus at 97 percent reflects the completed action under existing executive authority rather than speculation about future intent. Remaining uncertainty is minimal but could theoretically stem from any administrative reversal, court challenge, or redefinition of the designation criteria before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,029
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. State Department designated Brazil’s Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists in late May 2026, with Foreign Terrorist Organization status taking effect June 5, confirming the outcome well ahead of the December 31 deadline. This step aligns with the Trump administration’s broader pattern of applying terrorist designations to Latin American criminal networks to disrupt financing, drug flows, and cross-border operations, following sustained advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures including Flávio Bolsonaro. Trader consensus at 97 percent reflects the completed action under existing executive authority rather than speculation about future intent. Remaining uncertainty is minimal but could theoretically stem from any administrative reversal, court challenge, or redefinition of the designation criteria before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,029
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump designará o PCC ou CV do Brasil como terrorista até 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump designará o PCC ou o CV do Brasil como terroristas até 31 de dezembro?" at 97%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump designará o PCC ou CV do Brasil como terrorista até 31 de dezembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump designará o PCC ou CV do Brasil como terrorista até 31 de dezembro?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump designará o PCC ou CV do Brasil como terrorista até 31 de dezembro?" is "Trump designará o PCC ou o CV do Brasil como terroristas até 31 de dezembro?" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump designará o PCC ou CV do Brasil como terrorista até 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.