Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment, and the constitutional requirement of a two-thirds majority vote remains a formidable barrier. Multiple petitions targeting justices such as Alexandre de Moraes have accumulated without Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco advancing them to committee or floor consideration. A recent congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and de Moraes over the Banco Master case, yet Senate leadership has declined to schedule votes, and an existing judicial injunction limits certain procedural steps. With only limited confirmed support short of the necessary threshold, traders assess the probability of any removal by the end of 2026 as remote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$70,800 Объем
$70,800 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$70,800 Объем
$70,800 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment, and the constitutional requirement of a two-thirds majority vote remains a formidable barrier. Multiple petitions targeting justices such as Alexandre de Moraes have accumulated without Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco advancing them to committee or floor consideration. A recent congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and de Moraes over the Banco Master case, yet Senate leadership has declined to schedule votes, and an existing judicial injunction limits certain procedural steps. With only limited confirmed support short of the necessary threshold, traders assess the probability of any removal by the end of 2026 as remote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Объем
$70,800Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment, and the constitutional requirement of a two-thirds majority vote remains a formidable barrier. Multiple petitions targeting justices such as Alexandre de Moraes have accumulated without Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco advancing them to committee or floor consideration. A recent congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and de Moraes over the Banco Master case, yet Senate leadership has declined to schedule votes, and an existing judicial injunction limits certain procedural steps. With only limited confirmed support short of the necessary threshold, traders assess the probability of any removal by the end of 2026 as remote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$70,800Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment, and the constitutional requirement of a two-thirds majority vote remains a formidable barrier. Multiple petitions targeting justices such as Alexandre de Moraes have accumulated without Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco advancing them to committee or floor consideration. A recent congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and de Moraes over the Banco Master case, yet Senate leadership has declined to schedule votes, and an existing judicial injunction limits certain procedural steps. With only limited confirmed support short of the necessary threshold, traders assess the probability of any removal by the end of 2026 as remote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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