Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority has kept over 100 pending impeachment requests against STF justices, including dozens targeting Alexandre de Moraes, from advancing despite recent Banco Master–related allegations and a Senate CPI report recommending indictments for crimes of responsibility. The constitutional two-thirds Senate threshold (54 of 81 votes) remains a steep barrier in the current composition, and no STF justice has ever been removed through this process. With only months left before the 2027 cutoff and Lula-aligned blocs providing reliable resistance, traders assign overwhelming probability to no removal. Shifts could still occur if the Senate president changes course, opposition secures procedural rule changes before year-end, or post-October election dynamics rapidly alter the chamber’s balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
5% вероятность
$91,512 Объем
$91,512 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
5% вероятность
$91,512 Объем
$91,512 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority has kept over 100 pending impeachment requests against STF justices, including dozens targeting Alexandre de Moraes, from advancing despite recent Banco Master–related allegations and a Senate CPI report recommending indictments for crimes of responsibility. The constitutional two-thirds Senate threshold (54 of 81 votes) remains a steep barrier in the current composition, and no STF justice has ever been removed through this process. With only months left before the 2027 cutoff and Lula-aligned blocs providing reliable resistance, traders assign overwhelming probability to no removal. Shifts could still occur if the Senate president changes course, opposition secures procedural rule changes before year-end, or post-October election dynamics rapidly alter the chamber’s balance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Объем
$91,512Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority has kept over 100 pending impeachment requests against STF justices, including dozens targeting Alexandre de Moraes, from advancing despite recent Banco Master–related allegations and a Senate CPI report recommending indictments for crimes of responsibility. The constitutional two-thirds Senate threshold (54 of 81 votes) remains a steep barrier in the current composition, and no STF justice has ever been removed through this process. With only months left before the 2027 cutoff and Lula-aligned blocs providing reliable resistance, traders assign overwhelming probability to no removal. Shifts could still occur if the Senate president changes course, opposition secures procedural rule changes before year-end, or post-October election dynamics rapidly alter the chamber’s balance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$91,512Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority has kept over 100 pending impeachment requests against STF justices, including dozens targeting Alexandre de Moraes, from advancing despite recent Banco Master–related allegations and a Senate CPI report recommending indictments for crimes of responsibility. The constitutional two-thirds Senate threshold (54 of 81 votes) remains a steep barrier in the current composition, and no STF justice has ever been removed through this process. With only months left before the 2027 cutoff and Lula-aligned blocs providing reliable resistance, traders assign overwhelming probability to no removal. Shifts could still occur if the Senate president changes course, opposition secures procedural rule changes before year-end, or post-October election dynamics rapidly alter the chamber’s balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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