The Bank of Mexico’s recent May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate 25 basis points to 6.50%—its lowest since 2022—while declaring an end to the two-year easing cycle underpins the 93% market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. April headline inflation eased to 4.45% and core to 4.26%, both still above the 3% target, while Q1 GDP contraction created additional economic slack that reduced demand-side pressures. Banxico’s updated forecasts show convergence to target only by mid-2027 amid elevated geopolitical and trade uncertainties, reinforcing trader consensus that the current restrictive stance remains appropriate. A clear break in this positioning would require either sustained core inflation deceleration below recent levels or sharper downside growth surprises sufficient to reopen the door to further easing before the next data releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 93.1%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 2.9%
$10,987 Объем
$10,987 Объем
Decrease
6%
No change
93%
Increase
3%
No change 93.1%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 2.9%
$10,987 Объем
$10,987 Объем
Decrease
6%
No change
93%
Increase
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Mexico’s recent May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate 25 basis points to 6.50%—its lowest since 2022—while declaring an end to the two-year easing cycle underpins the 93% market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. April headline inflation eased to 4.45% and core to 4.26%, both still above the 3% target, while Q1 GDP contraction created additional economic slack that reduced demand-side pressures. Banxico’s updated forecasts show convergence to target only by mid-2027 amid elevated geopolitical and trade uncertainties, reinforcing trader consensus that the current restrictive stance remains appropriate. A clear break in this positioning would require either sustained core inflation deceleration below recent levels or sharper downside growth surprises sufficient to reopen the door to further easing before the next data releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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