Trump's endorsement of Catalina Lauf days before the August 18, 2026, Republican primary for Florida's 19th congressional district has driven trader consensus toward her at 88.5% implied probability. The former Commerce Department official under Trump has secured additional backing from Representatives Greg Steube, Kat Cammack, and Anna Paulina Luna, Senator Jim Banks, and a Rand Paul-aligned super PAC running targeted ads. Earlier August polling showed Lauf and local businessman Jim Schwartzel essentially tied near 19% with substantial undecided voters, but the late national endorsements shifted momentum. Schwartzel holds the next-highest share at 11.3%, while former Representatives Madison Cawthorn and others remain at or below 1.3% amid the crowded field of ten candidates. The primary vote tomorrow will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКаталина Лауф 88%
Джим Швартцель 11.9%
Джим Обервейс 1.8%
Мэдисон Котторн <1%
$96,951 Объем
$96,951 Объем
Каталина Лауф
88%
Джим Швартцель
12%
Джим Обервейс
2%
Мэдисон Котторн
<1%
Боб Роммел
<1%
Спенсер Роч
<1%
Каталина Лауф 88%
Джим Швартцель 11.9%
Джим Обервейс 1.8%
Мэдисон Котторн <1%
$96,951 Объем
$96,951 Объем
Каталина Лауф
88%
Джим Швартцель
12%
Джим Обервейс
2%
Мэдисон Котторн
<1%
Боб Роммел
<1%
Спенсер Роч
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump's endorsement of Catalina Lauf days before the August 18, 2026, Republican primary for Florida's 19th congressional district has driven trader consensus toward her at 88.5% implied probability. The former Commerce Department official under Trump has secured additional backing from Representatives Greg Steube, Kat Cammack, and Anna Paulina Luna, Senator Jim Banks, and a Rand Paul-aligned super PAC running targeted ads. Earlier August polling showed Lauf and local businessman Jim Schwartzel essentially tied near 19% with substantial undecided voters, but the late national endorsements shifted momentum. Schwartzel holds the next-highest share at 11.3%, while former Representatives Madison Cawthorn and others remain at or below 1.3% amid the crowded field of ten candidates. The primary vote tomorrow will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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