Current forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the Met Office and BBC Weather positions an 18°C high as the most likely outcome for Amsterdam on June 15, driven by north-westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime warming under typical early-summer solar angles. Recent observations show mild temperatures around 17°C on the 14th with moderate winds, reinforcing the narrow probability band between 17°C and 19°C. Climatological baselines for mid-June average near 19°C, yet current steering patterns and lack of high-pressure blocking reduce the chance of exceeding 20°C. Short-term model runs carry inherent uncertainty from local cloud cover and wind variability, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the primary station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 43%
17°C 32%
19°C 11%
16°C 11%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
32%
18°C
43%
19°C
11%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 43%
17°C 32%
19°C 11%
16°C 11%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
32%
18°C
43%
19°C
11%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the Met Office and BBC Weather positions an 18°C high as the most likely outcome for Amsterdam on June 15, driven by north-westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime warming under typical early-summer solar angles. Recent observations show mild temperatures around 17°C on the 14th with moderate winds, reinforcing the narrow probability band between 17°C and 19°C. Climatological baselines for mid-June average near 19°C, yet current steering patterns and lack of high-pressure blocking reduce the chance of exceeding 20°C. Short-term model runs carry inherent uncertainty from local cloud cover and wind variability, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the primary station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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