The market consensus strongly supports a high temperature of 76-77°F for Denver on May 16, driven by National Weather Service observations and ensemble model runs showing stable high-pressure dominance with minimal warm-air advection. Mid-May climatology for the Front Range typically features highs near 72°F under similar synoptic patterns, and current surface data align closely with this baseline without notable deviations in dew points or wind fields. Traders assign negligible odds to warmer thresholds because forecast guidance from NOAA indicates no significant shortwave troughs or downslope wind events that could push readings higher. Any final market resolution will depend on official post-event verification from local stations, though the tight clustering of model outputs leaves little room for upward revisions.