Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate Houston will likely see afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s on May 17, driven by typical late-spring southerly flow, abundant moisture, and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with climatological normals near 87°F for the date and supports the market's strong consensus for 86°F or higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with any thunderstorms expected too late to cap peak temperatures significantly. Traders are pricing in the high probability of exceeding 85°F given stable synoptic patterns and verified observations from Houston Hobby Airport, the official resolution source.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Хьюстоне 17 мая?
86°F or higher 88.8%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$10,742 Объем
$10,742 Объем
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
89%
86°F or higher 88.8%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$10,742 Объем
$10,742 Объем
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUCurrent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate Houston will likely see afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s on May 17, driven by typical late-spring southerly flow, abundant moisture, and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with climatological normals near 87°F for the date and supports the market's strong consensus for 86°F or higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with any thunderstorms expected too late to cap peak temperatures significantly. Traders are pricing in the high probability of exceeding 85°F given stable synoptic patterns and verified observations from Houston Hobby Airport, the official resolution source.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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