Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently favor a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow, positioning that outcome as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support a modest above-average reading that also sustains 27°C at 39.5%. Traders continue to monitor final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in wind or moisture that could adjust the exact peak by one degree. Resolution depends on the official observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 17 мая?
27°C 50%
28°C 43%
29°C 3.8%
30°C 1.4%
$91,095 Объем
$91,095 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
50%
28°C
43%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 43%
29°C 3.8%
30°C 1.4%
$91,095 Объем
$91,095 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
50%
28°C
43%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently favor a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow, positioning that outcome as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support a modest above-average reading that also sustains 27°C at 39.5%. Traders continue to monitor final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in wind or moisture that could adjust the exact peak by one degree. Resolution depends on the official observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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