Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Cook Strait region, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily maximum near 13–14°C for Wellington on May 18. This autumnal synoptic pattern aligns with climatological baselines where May highs average around 15°C, yet current model consensus favors the lower end due to cooler maritime air influence. Trader sentiment reflects these updates, assigning the highest implied probability to 13°C at 52.9% while pricing 14°C at 39.5%, as any deviation from the narrow forecast corridor—such as unexpected wind shifts or increased insolation—could tip outcomes slightly higher within the 15°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 18 мая?
14°C 19%
15°C 11%
16°C 1.4%
18°C или выше <1%
$40,453 Объем
$40,453 Объем
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
52%
14°C
22%
15°C
11%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C или выше
<1%
14°C 19%
15°C 11%
16°C 1.4%
18°C или выше <1%
$40,453 Объем
$40,453 Объем
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
52%
14°C
22%
15°C
11%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNRecent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Cook Strait region, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily maximum near 13–14°C for Wellington on May 18. This autumnal synoptic pattern aligns with climatological baselines where May highs average around 15°C, yet current model consensus favors the lower end due to cooler maritime air influence. Trader sentiment reflects these updates, assigning the highest implied probability to 13°C at 52.9% while pricing 14°C at 39.5%, as any deviation from the narrow forecast corridor—such as unexpected wind shifts or increased insolation—could tip outcomes slightly higher within the 15°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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