Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model runs point to a Seoul daily maximum of 25 °C or higher on May 18, driven by clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong solar heating typical of late-spring conditions. With May climatological highs averaging 24–27 °C and no significant frontal passages or cloud cover expected in the next 48 hours, traders have priced the “25 °C or higher” outcome at 68 %, followed by 24 °C at 19 %. Updated model consensus and any last-minute KMA forecast adjustments ahead of resolution remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before the daily high is officially recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле 18 мая?
25°C or higher 68%
24°C 19%
23°C 11%
22°C 3.1%
$17,549 Объем
$17,549 Объем
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
11%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
68%
25°C or higher 68%
24°C 19%
23°C 11%
22°C 3.1%
$17,549 Объем
$17,549 Объем
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
11%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model runs point to a Seoul daily maximum of 25 °C or higher on May 18, driven by clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong solar heating typical of late-spring conditions. With May climatological highs averaging 24–27 °C and no significant frontal passages or cloud cover expected in the next 48 hours, traders have priced the “25 °C or higher” outcome at 68 %, followed by 24 °C at 19 %. Updated model consensus and any last-minute KMA forecast adjustments ahead of resolution remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before the daily high is officially recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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