Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten commands 92.3% trader consensus for the IL-06 House seat after cruising to renomination in the March 17 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Niki Conforti, whom he defeated by eight points in 2024. Casten's fundraising dominance—far outpacing challengers—and the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for this suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, drive the lopsided odds amid no public general election polls. With the November 3 ballot locked, late-breaking scandals, a national Republican midterm wave, or Conforti's unexpected resource surge could challenge this trajectory, though historical incumbent advantages in rated races favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIL-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IL-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$25,343 Объем
$25,343 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
6%
$25,343 Объем
$25,343 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$9,301 Объем
92%
Республиканская партия
$16,042 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten commands 92.3% trader consensus for the IL-06 House seat after cruising to renomination in the March 17 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Niki Conforti, whom he defeated by eight points in 2024. Casten's fundraising dominance—far outpacing challengers—and the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for this suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, drive the lopsided odds amid no public general election polls. With the November 3 ballot locked, late-breaking scandals, a national Republican midterm wave, or Conforti's unexpected resource surge could challenge this trajectory, though historical incumbent advantages in rated races favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$25,343Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten commands 92.3% trader consensus for the IL-06 House seat after cruising to renomination in the March 17 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Niki Conforti, whom he defeated by eight points in 2024. Casten's fundraising dominance—far outpacing challengers—and the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for this suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, drive the lopsided odds amid no public general election polls. With the November 3 ballot locked, late-breaking scandals, a national Republican midterm wave, or Conforti's unexpected resource surge could challenge this trajectory, though historical incumbent advantages in rated races favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$25,343Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten commands 92.3% trader consensus for the IL-06 House seat after cruising to renomination in the March 17 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Niki Conforti, whom he defeated by eight points in 2024. Casten's fundraising dominance—far outpacing challengers—and the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for this suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, drive the lopsided odds amid no public general election polls. With the November 3 ballot locked, late-breaking scandals, a national Republican midterm wave, or Conforti's unexpected resource surge could challenge this trajectory, though historical incumbent advantages in rated races favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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