Amir Ohana, the current Knesset Speaker, leads trader pricing in the Likud primary to determine the party's Knesset slate due to consistent internal polling among the roughly 140,000 eligible party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. The August 17 vote occurs amid Netanyahu's expanded control over reserved slots on the list, which has narrowed open positions and intensified competition for realistic spots ahead of the October national election. Recent surveys of Likud members highlight Ohana's broad support, with figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth trailing in member preferences, while district and bloc dynamics further shape outcomes. This positioning aligns with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market odds, where the primary's limited viable slots and member-driven process favor established figures with strong base appeal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАмир Охана 82%
Талли Готлиб 8.0%
Ярив Левин 6.2%
Эли Коэн 4.3%
$60,207 Объем
$60,207 Объем

Амир Охана
82%

Талли Готлиб
8%

Ярив Левин
6%

Эли Коэн
4%

Нет праймериз к выборам в Кнессет
2%

Боаз Бисмут
1%

Мири Регев
1%

Шломо Кархи
1%

Моше Саада
1%

Давид Амсалем
1%

Алмог Коэн
1%

Амихай Чикли
1%

Израиль Кац
<1%

Нир Баркат
<1%

Йоав Киш
<1%

Мики Зоар
<1%

Давид Битан
<1%
Амир Охана 82%
Талли Готлиб 8.0%
Ярив Левин 6.2%
Эли Коэн 4.3%
$60,207 Объем
$60,207 Объем

Амир Охана
82%

Талли Готлиб
8%

Ярив Левин
6%

Эли Коэн
4%

Нет праймериз к выборам в Кнессет
2%

Боаз Бисмут
1%

Мири Регев
1%

Шломо Кархи
1%

Моше Саада
1%

Давид Амсалем
1%

Алмог Коэн
1%

Амихай Чикли
1%

Израиль Кац
<1%

Нир Баркат
<1%

Йоав Киш
<1%

Мики Зоар
<1%

Давид Битан
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Открытие рынка: Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Amir Ohana, the current Knesset Speaker, leads trader pricing in the Likud primary to determine the party's Knesset slate due to consistent internal polling among the roughly 140,000 eligible party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. The August 17 vote occurs amid Netanyahu's expanded control over reserved slots on the list, which has narrowed open positions and intensified competition for realistic spots ahead of the October national election. Recent surveys of Likud members highlight Ohana's broad support, with figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth trailing in member preferences, while district and bloc dynamics further shape outcomes. This positioning aligns with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market odds, where the primary's limited viable slots and member-driven process favor established figures with strong base appeal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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