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icon for Главный победитель партии «Ликуд»

Главный победитель партии «Ликуд»

icon for Главный победитель партии «Ликуд»

Главный победитель партии «Ликуд»

Амир Охана 82%

Талли Готлиб 8.0%

Ярив Левин 6.2%

Эли Коэн 4.3%

Polymarket

$60,207 Объем

Амир Охана 82%

Талли Готлиб 8.0%

Ярив Левин 6.2%

Эли Коэн 4.3%

Polymarket

$60,207 Объем

icon for Амир Охана

Амир Охана

$19,248 Объем

82%

icon for Талли Готлиб

Талли Готлиб

$12,678 Объем

8%

icon for Ярив Левин

Ярив Левин

$3,909 Объем

6%

icon for Эли Коэн

Эли Коэн

$1,441 Объем

4%

icon for Нет праймериз к выборам в Кнессет

Нет праймериз к выборам в Кнессет

$9,710 Объем

2%

icon for Боаз Бисмут

Боаз Бисмут

$1,287 Объем

1%

icon for Мири Регев

Мири Регев

$655 Объем

1%

icon for Шломо Кархи

Шломо Кархи

$1,016 Объем

1%

icon for Моше Саада

Моше Саада

$882 Объем

1%

icon for Давид Амсалем

Давид Амсалем

$832 Объем

1%

icon for Алмог Коэн

Алмог Коэн

$909 Объем

1%

icon for Амихай Чикли

Амихай Чикли

$910 Объем

1%

icon for Израиль Кац

Израиль Кац

$2,245 Объем

<1%

icon for Нир Баркат

Нир Баркат

$2,180 Объем

<1%

icon for Йоав Киш

Йоав Киш

$841 Объем

<1%

icon for Мики Зоар

Мики Зоар

$667 Объем

<1%

icon for Давид Битан

Давид Битан

$800 Объем

<1%

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana, the current Knesset Speaker, leads trader pricing in the Likud primary to determine the party's Knesset slate due to consistent internal polling among the roughly 140,000 eligible party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. The August 17 vote occurs amid Netanyahu's expanded control over reserved slots on the list, which has narrowed open positions and intensified competition for realistic spots ahead of the October national election. Recent surveys of Likud members highlight Ohana's broad support, with figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth trailing in member preferences, while district and bloc dynamics further shape outcomes. This positioning aligns with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market odds, where the primary's limited viable slots and member-driven process favor established figures with strong base appeal.

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.

If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".

If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Объем
$60,207
Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana, the current Knesset Speaker, leads trader pricing in the Likud primary to determine the party's Knesset slate due to consistent internal polling among the roughly 140,000 eligible party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. The August 17 vote occurs amid Netanyahu's expanded control over reserved slots on the list, which has narrowed open positions and intensified competition for realistic spots ahead of the October national election. Recent surveys of Likud members highlight Ohana's broad support, with figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth trailing in member preferences, while district and bloc dynamics further shape outcomes. This positioning aligns with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market odds, where the primary's limited viable slots and member-driven process favor established figures with strong base appeal.

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.

If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".

If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Объем
$60,207
Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Главный победитель партии «Ликуд»» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Амир Охана» с 82%, за ним следует «Талли Готлиб» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 82¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 82%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Главный победитель партии «Ликуд»» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $60.2K с момента запуска рынка Jul 21, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Главный победитель партии «Ликуд»», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Главный победитель партии «Ликуд»» — «Амир Охана» с 82%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 82%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Талли Готлиб» с 8%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Главный победитель партии «Ликуд»» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.