Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАмир Охана 81%
Талли Готлиб 6.0%
Ярив Левин 5.9%
Эли Коэн 5.1%
$60,775 Объем
$60,775 Объем
26 окт. 2026 г.
Амир Охана
81%
Талли Готлиб
6%
Ярив Левин
6%
Эли Коэн
5%
Нет праймериз к выборам в Кнессет
2%
Боаз Бисмут
1%
Мири Регев
1%
Шломо Кархи
1%
Израиль Кац
1%
Моше Саада
1%
Давид Амсалем
1%
Алмог Коэн
1%
Амихай Чикли
1%
Нир Баркат
<1%
Йоав Киш
<1%
Мики Зоар
<1%
Давид Битан
<1%
Амир Охана 81%
Талли Готлиб 6.0%
Ярив Левин 5.9%
Эли Коэн 5.1%
$60,775 Объем
$60,775 Объем
26 окт. 2026 г.
Амир Охана
$19,298 Объем
81%
Талли Готлиб
$13,081 Объем
6%
Ярив Левин
$3,909 Объем
6%
Эли Коэн
$1,556 Объем
5%
Нет праймериз к выборам в Кнессет
$9,710 Объем
2%
Боаз Бисмут
$1,287 Объем
1%
Мири Регев
$655 Объем
1%
Шломо Кархи
$1,016 Объем
1%
Израиль Кац
$2,245 Объем
1%
Моше Саада
$882 Объем
1%
Давид Амсалем
$832 Объем
1%
Алмог Коэн
$909 Объем
1%
Амихай Чикли
$910 Объем
1%
Нир Баркат
$2,180 Объем
<1%
Йоав Киш
$841 Объем
<1%
Мики Зоар
$667 Объем
<1%
Давид Битан
$800 Объем
<1%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Открытие рынка: Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Объем
$60,775Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Объем
$60,775Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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