Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 11 июня?
25°C 100.0%
21°C или ниже <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,256 Объем
$57,256 Объем
21°C или ниже
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Да
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C или выше
Нет
25°C 100.0%
21°C или ниже <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,256 Объем
$57,256 Объем
21°C или ниже
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Да
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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