Recent official forecasts and observational data position 28°C as the leading minimum for Hong Kong on June 14, with traders assigning it 73% implied probability amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling under southwest monsoon influence. Typical June climatology supports overnight lows of 26–28°C, and current model consensus shows no significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops. The much lower odds on 27°C or below reflect the absence of anomalous cooling factors, while any late-day rain-cooled pockets remain low-probability variables. Official Hong Kong Observatory verification will resolve the market once final readings are confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 14 июня?
28°C 65.1%
27°C 29%
26°C 4.0%
25°C <1%
$30,405 Объем
$30,405 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
27%
28°C
69%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
28°C 65.1%
27°C 29%
26°C 4.0%
25°C <1%
$30,405 Объем
$30,405 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
27%
28°C
69%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and observational data position 28°C as the leading minimum for Hong Kong on June 14, with traders assigning it 73% implied probability amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling under southwest monsoon influence. Typical June climatology supports overnight lows of 26–28°C, and current model consensus shows no significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops. The much lower odds on 27°C or below reflect the absence of anomalous cooling factors, while any late-day rain-cooled pockets remain low-probability variables. Official Hong Kong Observatory verification will resolve the market once final readings are confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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