Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency align with seasonal norms, positioning a Tokyo minimum near 23°C as the leading outcome with 47% implied probability on August 16. Typical August overnight lows average 23.6°C, influenced by persistent high pressure, urban heat retention, and humidity levels above 70% that moderate radiative cooling. Recent observational data show comparable minima of 22–24°C over the prior week amid stable subtropical conditions, with limited model spread supporting the tight clustering at 22–24°C. Traders weigh these baselines against potential short-term variability from cloud cover or weak frontal influences before resolution on official readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 16 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 16 августа?
23°C 47%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
28%
23°C
47%
24°C
22%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
23°C 47%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$274 Объем
<1%
19°C
$224 Объем
<1%
20°C
$318 Объем
1%
21°C
$446 Объем
5%
22°C
$1,161 Объем
28%
23°C
$2,607 Объем
47%
24°C
$2,071 Объем
22%
25°C
$435 Объем
2%
26°C
$189 Объем
<1%
27°C
$219 Объем
<1%
28°C или выше
$246 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency align with seasonal norms, positioning a Tokyo minimum near 23°C as the leading outcome with 47% implied probability on August 16. Typical August overnight lows average 23.6°C, influenced by persistent high pressure, urban heat retention, and humidity levels above 70% that moderate radiative cooling. Recent observational data show comparable minima of 22–24°C over the prior week amid stable subtropical conditions, with limited model spread supporting the tight clustering at 22–24°C. Traders weigh these baselines against potential short-term variability from cloud cover or weak frontal influences before resolution on official readings.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$8,190Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency align with seasonal norms, positioning a Tokyo minimum near 23°C as the leading outcome with 47% implied probability on August 16. Typical August overnight lows average 23.6°C, influenced by persistent high pressure, urban heat retention, and humidity levels above 70% that moderate radiative cooling. Recent observational data show comparable minima of 22–24°C over the prior week amid stable subtropical conditions, with limited model spread supporting the tight clustering at 22–24°C. Traders weigh these baselines against potential short-term variability from cloud cover or weak frontal influences before resolution on official readings.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,190Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency align with seasonal norms, positioning a Tokyo minimum near 23°C as the leading outcome with 47% implied probability on August 16. Typical August overnight lows average 23.6°C, influenced by persistent high pressure, urban heat retention, and humidity levels above 70% that moderate radiative cooling. Recent observational data show comparable minima of 22–24°C over the prior week amid stable subtropical conditions, with limited model spread supporting the tight clustering at 22–24°C. Traders weigh these baselines against potential short-term variability from cloud cover or weak frontal influences before resolution on official readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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