Traders see negligible prospects for a Ukraine-Russia peace deal by June 30 because core disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and demilitarization remain unresolved despite recent U.S. mediation. A three-day ceasefire observed in mid-May under Trump administration facilitation included a prisoner exchange but produced no framework for a comprehensive accord, with Russian officials stating afterward that any settlement remains far off and subject to complex conditions such as Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas regions. Ongoing military operations and divergent positions on NATO-related assurances have kept formal negotiations paused, consistent with historical patterns where brief truces have not translated into binding treaties within tight timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$441,270 Объем
$441,270 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$441,270 Объем
$441,270 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Traders see negligible prospects for a Ukraine-Russia peace deal by June 30 because core disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and demilitarization remain unresolved despite recent U.S. mediation. A three-day ceasefire observed in mid-May under Trump administration facilitation included a prisoner exchange but produced no framework for a comprehensive accord, with Russian officials stating afterward that any settlement remains far off and subject to complex conditions such as Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas regions. Ongoing military operations and divergent positions on NATO-related assurances have kept formal negotiations paused, consistent with historical patterns where brief truces have not translated into binding treaties within tight timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
Объем
$441,270Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Traders see negligible prospects for a Ukraine-Russia peace deal by June 30 because core disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and demilitarization remain unresolved despite recent U.S. mediation. A three-day ceasefire observed in mid-May under Trump administration facilitation included a prisoner exchange but produced no framework for a comprehensive accord, with Russian officials stating afterward that any settlement remains far off and subject to complex conditions such as Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas regions. Ongoing military operations and divergent positions on NATO-related assurances have kept formal negotiations paused, consistent with historical patterns where brief truces have not translated into binding treaties within tight timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$441,270Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders see negligible prospects for a Ukraine-Russia peace deal by June 30 because core disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and demilitarization remain unresolved despite recent U.S. mediation. A three-day ceasefire observed in mid-May under Trump administration facilitation included a prisoner exchange but produced no framework for a comprehensive accord, with Russian officials stating afterward that any settlement remains far off and subject to complex conditions such as Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas regions. Ongoing military operations and divergent positions on NATO-related assurances have kept formal negotiations paused, consistent with historical patterns where brief truces have not translated into binding treaties within tight timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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