United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and alignment with presidential administration resources in a mixed electoral system. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows fluctuating support levels, with the ruling party holding steady leads amid efforts to counter economic pressures through targeted social initiatives. New People has registered gains in select surveys by appealing to younger and urban voters, yet faces structural limits that cap its potential to challenge the frontrunner. Other parties including LDPR and KPRF remain at lower implied probabilities consistent with historical patterns of limited growth in managed parliamentary contests.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Единая Россия (ЕР) 61%
Новые люди (NL) 29.9%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 5.3%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 3.0%
$8,237,645 Объем
$8,237,645 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
61%
Новые люди (NL)
30%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
5%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
3%
Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)
1%
Родина
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 61%
Новые люди (NL) 29.9%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 5.3%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 3.0%
$8,237,645 Объем
$8,237,645 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$2,151,591 Объем
61%
Новые люди (NL)
$1,056,883 Объем
30%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$2,276,568 Объем
5%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$658,279 Объем
3%
Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)
$574,590 Объем
1%
Родина
$936,797 Объем
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$583,145 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and alignment with presidential administration resources in a mixed electoral system. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows fluctuating support levels, with the ruling party holding steady leads amid efforts to counter economic pressures through targeted social initiatives. New People has registered gains in select surveys by appealing to younger and urban voters, yet faces structural limits that cap its potential to challenge the frontrunner. Other parties including LDPR and KPRF remain at lower implied probabilities consistent with historical patterns of limited growth in managed parliamentary contests.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Объем
$8,237,645Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and alignment with presidential administration resources in a mixed electoral system. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows fluctuating support levels, with the ruling party holding steady leads amid efforts to counter economic pressures through targeted social initiatives. New People has registered gains in select surveys by appealing to younger and urban voters, yet faces structural limits that cap its potential to challenge the frontrunner. Other parties including LDPR and KPRF remain at lower implied probabilities consistent with historical patterns of limited growth in managed parliamentary contests.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$8,237,645Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and alignment with presidential administration resources in a mixed electoral system. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows fluctuating support levels, with the ruling party holding steady leads amid efforts to counter economic pressures through targeted social initiatives. New People has registered gains in select surveys by appealing to younger and urban voters, yet faces structural limits that cap its potential to challenge the frontrunner. Other parties including LDPR and KPRF remain at lower implied probabilities consistent with historical patterns of limited growth in managed parliamentary contests.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы