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Политика·Terror

Определит ли Трамп PCC или CV Бразилии в качестве террористов к 31 декабря?

icon for Определит ли Трамп PCC или CV Бразилии в качестве террористов к 31 декабря?
Политика·Terror

Определит ли Трамп PCC или CV Бразилии в качестве террористов к 31 декабря?

Да

94% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

94% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026 State Department action under Secretary Marco Rubio provides the dominant driver of current trader consensus. Officials designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists immediately, with the Foreign Terrorist Organization label scheduled to take effect June 5. The move aligns with broader counternarcotics efforts targeting transnational criminal networks and follows direct advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures, including meetings between President Trump and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Brazilian authorities opposed the step as interference, yet the formal designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window. With the process already completed and no reversal mechanisms indicated, market pricing reflects near-certainty that the threshold will be met.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,092
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026 State Department action under Secretary Marco Rubio provides the dominant driver of current trader consensus. Officials designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists immediately, with the Foreign Terrorist Organization label scheduled to take effect June 5. The move aligns with broader counternarcotics efforts targeting transnational criminal networks and follows direct advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures, including meetings between President Trump and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Brazilian authorities opposed the step as interference, yet the formal designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window. With the process already completed and no reversal mechanisms indicated, market pricing reflects near-certainty that the threshold will be met.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,092
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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