Recent national polls position Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Datafolha and Quaest surveys from mid-May show Lula at 38-39 percent while Flávio registers 33-35 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in single digits. Flávio’s candidacy, formally backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro in December 2025, has consolidated right-wing support following Jair’s legal disqualification. Traders appear to view this polling pattern and the absence of a stronger alternative challenger as the primary drivers behind the current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วฟลาวิโอ โบลโซนาโร 62%
ลูอิส อินาซิโอ ลูลา ดา ซิลวา 15%
Renan Santos 7.7%
โรมิว เซมา 6.9%
$3,523,676 ปริมาณ
$3,523,676 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
ฟลาวิโอ โบลโซนาโร
62%
ลูอิส อินาซิโอ ลูลา ดา ซิลวา
15%
Renan Santos
8%
โรมิว เซมา
7%
มิเชล โบลโซนาโร
3%
เฟอร์นันดู ฮัดดัด
3%
คามิโล ซานตานา
2%
Tereza Cristina
1%
โรนัลโด้ ไกอาโด
1%
เจอรัลโด อัลค์มิน
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
ราตินโญ่ จูเนียร์
<1%
อัลโด เรเบโล
<1%
เอดูอาร์โด โบลโซนาโร
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
ฌาอีร์ โบลโซนาโร
<1%
เอ็ดดูอาร์โด เลอิเต้
<1%
ฟลาวิโอ โบลโซนาโร 62%
ลูอิส อินาซิโอ ลูลา ดา ซิลวา 15%
Renan Santos 7.7%
โรมิว เซมา 6.9%
$3,523,676 ปริมาณ
$3,523,676 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
ฟลาวิโอ โบลโซนาโร
$56,396 ปริมาณ
62%
ลูอิส อินาซิโอ ลูลา ดา ซิลวา
$67,344 ปริมาณ
15%
Renan Santos
$995,940 ปริมาณ
8%
โรมิว เซมา
$256,381 ปริมาณ
7%
มิเชล โบลโซนาโร
$72,830 ปริมาณ
3%
เฟอร์นันดู ฮัดดัด
$651,329 ปริมาณ
3%
คามิโล ซานตานา
$56,064 ปริมาณ
2%
Tereza Cristina
$2,853 ปริมาณ
1%
โรนัลโด้ ไกอาโด
$289,157 ปริมาณ
1%
เจอรัลโด อัลค์มิน
$123,364 ปริมาณ
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$111,040 ปริมาณ
<1%
ราตินโญ่ จูเนียร์
$642,631 ปริมาณ
<1%
อัลโด เรเบโล
$29,825 ปริมาณ
<1%
เอดูอาร์โด โบลโซนาโร
$48,401 ปริมาณ
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$2,260 ปริมาณ
<1%
ฌาอีร์ โบลโซนาโร
$77,363 ปริมาณ
<1%
เอ็ดดูอาร์โด เลอิเต้
$40,500 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polls position Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Datafolha and Quaest surveys from mid-May show Lula at 38-39 percent while Flávio registers 33-35 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in single digits. Flávio’s candidacy, formally backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro in December 2025, has consolidated right-wing support following Jair’s legal disqualification. Traders appear to view this polling pattern and the absence of a stronger alternative challenger as the primary drivers behind the current market pricing.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,523,676วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polls position Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Datafolha and Quaest surveys from mid-May show Lula at 38-39 percent while Flávio registers 33-35 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in single digits. Flávio’s candidacy, formally backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro in December 2025, has consolidated right-wing support following Jair’s legal disqualification. Traders appear to view this polling pattern and the absence of a stronger alternative challenger as the primary drivers behind the current market pricing.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,523,676วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent national polls position Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Datafolha and Quaest surveys from mid-May show Lula at 38-39 percent while Flávio registers 33-35 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in single digits. Flávio’s candidacy, formally backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro in December 2025, has consolidated right-wing support following Jair’s legal disqualification. Traders appear to view this polling pattern and the absence of a stronger alternative challenger as the primary drivers behind the current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย