Recent softer July CPI and producer price readings, alongside a weaker-than-expected jobs report showing job losses and a stable 4.4% unemployment rate, have tempered near-term hike expectations even as core PCE remains elevated near 3.7% following earlier energy-price shocks tied to geopolitical tensions. With the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range and a divided FOMC under Chairman Warsh issuing mixed projections, traders see balanced risks: further inflation persistence could prompt a 2026 tightening, while labor-market softening or sustained disinflation could keep policy on hold. The next CPI release and September FOMC meeting, where updated dot-plot guidance is expected, represent key swing factors that could shift the near-even market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
48% โอกาส
$7,603,691 ปริมาณ
$7,603,691 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
48% โอกาส
$7,603,691 ปริมาณ
$7,603,691 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent softer July CPI and producer price readings, alongside a weaker-than-expected jobs report showing job losses and a stable 4.4% unemployment rate, have tempered near-term hike expectations even as core PCE remains elevated near 3.7% following earlier energy-price shocks tied to geopolitical tensions. With the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range and a divided FOMC under Chairman Warsh issuing mixed projections, traders see balanced risks: further inflation persistence could prompt a 2026 tightening, while labor-market softening or sustained disinflation could keep policy on hold. The next CPI release and September FOMC meeting, where updated dot-plot guidance is expected, represent key swing factors that could shift the near-even market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,603,691วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent softer July CPI and producer price readings, alongside a weaker-than-expected jobs report showing job losses and a stable 4.4% unemployment rate, have tempered near-term hike expectations even as core PCE remains elevated near 3.7% following earlier energy-price shocks tied to geopolitical tensions. With the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range and a divided FOMC under Chairman Warsh issuing mixed projections, traders see balanced risks: further inflation persistence could prompt a 2026 tightening, while labor-market softening or sustained disinflation could keep policy on hold. The next CPI release and September FOMC meeting, where updated dot-plot guidance is expected, represent key swing factors that could shift the near-even market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,603,715วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent softer July CPI and producer price readings, alongside a weaker-than-expected jobs report showing job losses and a stable 4.4% unemployment rate, have tempered near-term hike expectations even as core PCE remains elevated near 3.7% following earlier energy-price shocks tied to geopolitical tensions. With the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range and a divided FOMC under Chairman Warsh issuing mixed projections, traders see balanced risks: further inflation persistence could prompt a 2026 tightening, while labor-market softening or sustained disinflation could keep policy on hold. The next CPI release and September FOMC meeting, where updated dot-plot guidance is expected, represent key swing factors that could shift the near-even market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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