National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a daily high near 91–92°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies and light south winds, establishing strong model consensus for temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F. Persistent upper-level high pressure is driving subsidence that suppresses cloud formation and maximizes solar heating, with midday observations already surpassing 85°F at key stations. This positions the 86°F-or-higher outcome at market-implied certainty, as ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows minimal spread and no realistic pathway to sub-86°F readings. Traders weigh the slim chance of unexpected convective development or thicker afternoon cloud cover that might trim the peak by a degree or two, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable before official resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on May 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$41,722 ปริมาณ
$41,722 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$41,722 ปริมาณ
$41,722 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
$6,666 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$3,766 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$10,176 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$2,043 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$2,449 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$1,718 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$1,257 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$3,003 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$1,204 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$4,101 ปริมาณ
No
86°F or higher
$5,338 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a daily high near 91–92°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies and light south winds, establishing strong model consensus for temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F. Persistent upper-level high pressure is driving subsidence that suppresses cloud formation and maximizes solar heating, with midday observations already surpassing 85°F at key stations. This positions the 86°F-or-higher outcome at market-implied certainty, as ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows minimal spread and no realistic pathway to sub-86°F readings. Traders weigh the slim chance of unexpected convective development or thicker afternoon cloud cover that might trim the peak by a degree or two, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,722วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a daily high near 91–92°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies and light south winds, establishing strong model consensus for temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F. Persistent upper-level high pressure is driving subsidence that suppresses cloud formation and maximizes solar heating, with midday observations already surpassing 85°F at key stations. This positions the 86°F-or-higher outcome at market-implied certainty, as ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows minimal spread and no realistic pathway to sub-86°F readings. Traders weigh the slim chance of unexpected convective development or thicker afternoon cloud cover that might trim the peak by a degree or two, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,722วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a daily high near 91–92°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies and light south winds, establishing strong model consensus for temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F. Persistent upper-level high pressure is driving subsidence that suppresses cloud formation and maximizes solar heating, with midday observations already surpassing 85°F at key stations. This positions the 86°F-or-higher outcome at market-implied certainty, as ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows minimal spread and no realistic pathway to sub-86°F readings. Traders weigh the slim chance of unexpected convective development or thicker afternoon cloud cover that might trim the peak by a degree or two, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable before official resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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